Real estate markets across the country are definitely starting to crack. The northeast is really the last holdout and there are signs of a beginning surge in inventory there. With slowing activity and rising inventory, it looks like the OBX could enter a buyers market by the second quarter of next year.
Right now, our absorption rate has us at the high end of a “normal market”. Just a small increase in inventory at today’s demand level will push us over the 6-month level and right into the next category; slow market, which will favor buyers more.
Most aren’t aware of the impending foreclosure tsunami that is coming in the second quarter of 2026. On October 1st, an FHA workout program that has been in place for the last 5 years got an overhaul. Borrowers have been issued loan modifications over and over.
New guidelines in place are:
- Only one modification every 24 months
- Must exhibit the ability to pay the new amount for 6 months
- Cannot be behind on student loans
FHA is reporting one million borrowers are in default at least 30 days. With these new guidelines in place, that puts a lot of homeowners in jeopardy of being foreclosed. It’s a 90 day process
that started 3 weeks ago. By January, we could start seeing these new listings hitting the market across the country.
While I don’t expect it to have a huge impact on the Outer Banks, it will start to affect markets nearby. Being a resort area, we usually get the trickle-down effect, so expect to see possibly even slower sales next year, which will contribute to higher inventory, eventually translating


In a nutshell, the market here is changing…slowly…but surely. These types of cycle shifts don’t happen all at once. Fortunately, because I study the market every day, I can help you see it coming. After all, you can get out of the way of what you don’t see!
What a difference a year makes! Long story short, there are some BIG moves that are happening. I’ve talked before about algorithmic decay. This chart here is exactly that! Little, by little, by little, then bang. That’s how markets change. Tale as old as time, song as old as rhyme, it’s almost as good as a crystal ball.
A lot of agents will do presentations on how they came up with a price for your home. It is a task that does require some skill. The challenge of course is getting the seller to agree to the pricing suggestions.
It’s no secret the real estate market is in very bad shape right now. And in an effort to be as up-front as possible about the pros and cons, I wanted to create this quick list of the main things to consider before buying or selling.

It’s no secret the real estate market on the Outer Banks is shifting. Even as we move into a seller’s market, keep in mind a majority of our home sales are secondary homes. This means more than 50% of our home buyers will spend up to 2 years searching for the right home. They can do that because they aren’t physically moving into the home.


