Outer Banks Market Update – March 2023

As of right now, the Outer Banks is experiencing what is considered to be a “normal market”.  That means we are not seeing prices change in any significant way up or down.  While prices are still at what is considered to be somewhat inflated, there’s not been real measurable changes so far.  Secondly, we still have a balanced level of inventory.  A normal market is considered to be a demand level of 4 to 6 months of inventory.  We are sitting right in the middle at 5 months of inventory.  This means the demand is steady and supply is still rather low.  In comparison at the peak times in 2021 and 2022, we had just a 2-month inventory.

This begs the question, where are we headed?  There are 3 factors I’m watching to help determine that.  What’s great about Beach Realty is we watch the statistics every single week.  It’s just as good as having a crystal ball. The numbers change in a gradual way that you can actually see the shifts coming if you’re paying attention, which we are!

Factor 1 – Mortgage Applications

Year over year nationwide mortgage applications to buy a home has fallen 41%.  In just a YEAR!  It’s currently at the lowest level in 28 years right now.  That’s even worse than the mortgage crash that happened in 2008.  Coupled with data from NAR, only 29% of recent home purchases are cash.  The most obvious cause is rising interest rates and still inflated home prices.  As a second home market, over 70% of our home sales are a discretionary purchase.  It’s a decision buyers can wait on, especially if they think changes are coming soon.

Factor 2 – FNMA and Second Homes

About a year ago Fannie Mae basically got out of the second home business.  Wanting to pull support from second homes and focus more on first time home buyer programs they negotiated a deal with the Mortgage Bankers Association to drastically increase rates on second homes.  Which at the time didn’t seem too objectionable on conforming loans because the conforming loan limit was $548,250.  With the average second home here being near $700,000, most buyers wouldn’t be affected.  Now the limit is $726,200 for a conforming loan, coupled with the most attractive rates being a now 75% LTV, the rates shot up over 7% with one point.  Making it even more expensive than ever to buy a home on the Outer Banks with a conforming limit mortgage. I don’t know the exact percentage of second home mortgages that are sold to Fannie Mae, but I think an educated guess would be MOST of them.  The only solution is for mortgage brokers to keep the loans on their books and try to offer more attractive rates.  Who knows how long that will last and how many lenders will participate.  I only know of one broker with that program right now.

Factor 3 – Rising Inventory

As buyer demand continues to soften due to rates and prices, inventory will start to creep up this spring and summer.  That could lead us directly into an inventory level over 6 or 7 months by fall.  That pushes us back into a buyer’s market.  If rental receipts drop this year, as expected, this fall we could see prices take a very noticeable hit.  How much is yet to be determined.  However, with as high as prices rose over the last few years, even a 10% drop would likely still put the home higher than pricing was in 2019.  So all is not lost, for this year at least.

If you’re thinking about selling, NOW is your window.  Give me a call to discuss further.

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Fall in Love with this Cozy Beach House in the Heart of Duck!

OBARMLS86752New Listing!!
124 Marlin Drive,
Duck, NC

MLS #: 86752        $325,000

You will love this cute and cozy beach house right in the heart of Duck. This home sits right in the middle of Marlin Drive. Easy access to the beach or the foot/bike path into Town for shopping and restaurants. Enjoy three bedrooms and 2 full baths on the top floor. Along with an open concept kitchen, living and dining area. Relax on the screened porch for shade or sun on the huge, open back deck. The ground floor offers an outside shower, storage and another large bedroom and bathroom. The septic was updated in 2005 to accommodate the additional bedroom. This home has been well cared for and it shows.

Never rented, just used by family and friends.

This is the perfect house to call your own for an incredible price in Duck!

Contact me for more details!

 
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Winter Blues? Think of the Summer Possibilities in Duck!

101 Snow Geese Dr S Duck, NC 27949101 Snow Geese Dr S
Duck, NC

MLS# 85192          $329,000

This home is the perfect getaway just North of “downtown” Duck. Enjoy a short bike ride or stroll into town for shopping or restaurants. Lovingly updated just a few years ago you’ll find laminate wood floors, newer carpet and furnishings throughout the home. Ground floor game room with separate entrance is a great place to hang out after a day at the beach. Enjoy the hot tub or rooftop deck at sunrise! The open concept kitchen/dining/living room is perfect for entertaining with floor to ceiling windows facing the Sound for plenty of natural light.

Keep it as a second home or generate some
rental income on this true cutie.

Contact me for more details

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

New Listing!! 124 Marlin Drive, Duck, NC 27949

OBARMLS86752New Listing!!
124 Marlin Drive,
Duck, NC

MLS #: 86752        $325,000

You will love this cute and cozy beach house right in the heart of Duck. This home sits right in the middle of Marlin Drive. Easy access to the beach or the foot/bike path into Town for shopping and restaurants. Enjoy three bedrooms and 2 full baths on the top floor. Along with an open concept kitchen, living and dining area. Relax on the screened porch for shade or sun on the huge, open back deck. The ground floor offers an outside shower, storage and another large bedroom and bathroom. The septic was updated in 2005 to accommodate the additional bedroom. This home has been well cared for and it shows.

Never rented, just used by family and friends.

This is the perfect house to call your own for an incredible price in Duck!

Contact me for more details!

 
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

 

Enjoy Nightly Sunsets from Your Rooftop Deck in Duck!

101 Snow Geese Dr S Duck, NC 27949101 Snow Geese Dr S
Duck, NC

MLS# 85192          $329,000

This home is the perfect getaway just North of “downtown” Duck. Enjoy a short bike ride or stroll into town for shopping or restaurants. Lovingly updated just a few years ago you’ll find laminate wood floors, newer carpet and furnishings throughout the home. Ground floor game room with separate entrance is a great place to hang out after a day at the beach. Enjoy the hot tub or rooftop deck at sunrise! The open concept kitchen/dining/living room is perfect for entertaining with floor to ceiling windows facing the Sound for plenty of natural light.

Keep it as a second home or generate some
rental income on this true cutie.

Contact me for more details

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Too Cold? Warm up in this Rooftop Hot Tub in Duck!

101 Snow Geese Dr S Duck, NC 27949101 Snow Geese Dr S
Duck, NC

MLS# 85192          $329,000

This home is the perfect getaway just North of “downtown” Duck. Enjoy a short bike ride or stroll into town for shopping or restaurants. Lovingly updated just a few years ago you’ll find laminate wood floors, newer carpet and furnishings throughout the home. Ground floor game room with separate entrance is a great place to hang out after a day at the beach. Enjoy the hot tub or rooftop deck at sunrise! The open concept kitchen/dining/living room is perfect for entertaining with floor to ceiling windows facing the Sound for plenty of natural light.

Keep it as a second home or generate some
rental income on this true cutie.

Contact me for more details

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.