Welcome Summer!

Welcome Summer! Now that Memorial Day is behind us, it’s officially our summer season. It started with some interesting weather! I read that June is predicted to be cooler than normal. Once again reinforcing my pick for September as the best month on the OBX.

Market Report – I have to say in 26 years of being in this business, the market we have right now is the most odd I’ve ever seen. We have a lack of buyers AND a lack of inventory. With two major banks pulling out of the resort markets, there’s a bit of uncertainty to come. Read June’s FULL Report Here!

Mid-Currituck Bridge – No real construction news, but a win in the fight. The SELC has decided NOT to appeal the recent court’s decision. This will certainly save some time. While the plan seems to intend on moving forward, the environmental studies will all have to be re-done since they are more than 3 years old. Full article here.

Tax Deferred Exchange – Did you know it’s possible to sell an investment property and defer capital gains tax, WITHOUT having to do a 1031 Tax Exchange and buying another property? I have a handy PDF document I can send with more information if you’re interested. Just email me back to request it.

June Market Report

First let’s talk about banking.  Two major players (Citizens and Key Bank) recently pulled out of all mortgages in resort markets.  If you remember in March I wrote about the FANNIE MAE requirements for second homes that is making it extremely undesirable to get a conventional loan for a second home (higher rates, larger down payments, etc).  This means banks doing conventional loans have to add those loans to their balance sheet as they can’t be sold to FANNIE MAE without the extra high costs, which no one wants to do.  This caused these two banks to pull out of the resort markets across the US.  Will more banks follow?  I suspect at some point they will have to.

What happens if buyers can’t get a mortgage for a second home?  Or they become so scarcely available they price themselves out of possibility?  Do we become a cash only market?  Time will tell!

Meanwhile, rising rates have pushed buyer demand extremely low, and yet inventory is just as low if not lower.  This strange anomaly is the only thing stopping prices from plummeting down.

For example, here are the number of homes sold from Jan to May for the past 3 years:
                 Duck    Corolla         KDH,KH,NH
2023           29            82                      172
2022           68          136                     294
2021            58         241                      355
Conversely, take a look at current inventory levels
               Duck             Corolla            KDH,KH,NH
SFRES    14                     45                              52
The lack of demand indicates the prices should be affected by now.  However, so many homeowners either purchased with cash or have an interest rate of 3% or less.  I read an article the other day that 90% of all mortgages in the US are under 5%.  Who is going to sell and buy something else at today’s higher rate of 7%?  Not many, apparently!

The one thing that could cause inventory to jump this fall is the struggling rental market.  Whether it’s inflation, unemployment, or just being cautious, this year’s rental reports are showing some real struggles.  Across the country Airbnb owners are reporting 25% drop in bookings.  Most owners are making adjustments to the weekly rates to entice bookings.  Let’s just say it, the COVID rental bubble is officially over.  Back to the way it was before.  So, this could cause some of the short term buyers banking on high rental returns to throw in the towel and sell, while they can still get fairly good prices.

Either way, it’s going to be an interesting year for sales.  There are several things to watch, mortgage availability, rental performance, and increasing supply.  We could end up with a “perfect storm” this fall!

If you are thinking of buying or selling, call me to discuss the perfect strategy to fit your needs.

 

Happy March! 

The Month of MarchWhat a mild winter we have had here at the beach so far.  We are not complaining, that’s for sure.

I’ve got a couple of pretty interesting topics this month…let’s dive in.

Market Report

Anyone who knows me knows I’m generally an optimist by nature.  I have to say some of the economic factors going on are raising my level of concern for our local market this year.  While the OBX is a primarily second home market, we are late to see the effects of the primary market shifts.  Believe me, changes are on the way, click here for more.

Mid Currituck Bridge

Ah yes…the long-awaited bridge.  If you’ve been waiting around for this thing since the 90’s like me, you will probably see this as a nice reminder this project is not completely dead, and also hard to get hopeful again.  Read more here.

Taste of the Beach

Yes, it’s March and time for my absolute favorite OBX Event of the year!  If you’ve never been, you are missing out on some of the best dining experiences we have to offer.  If you can make it to town the weekend of March 24 – 26th, you won’t be sorry!  Let me know what some of your favorites are!  Click here for the event website.

Agent of the Year

I was honored and excited to receive this award again for 2022.  I’m grateful to my wonderful client base and friends for the amazing support I’ve had in my career.  This is year 27 for me in the business.  I have been very blessed. Read more here.

May OBX Update

Let the May flowers bloom! 
We are gearing up for a super busy vacation season so far.  Keep in mind most of the Outer Banks is short-staffed and one of the big culprits is actually the housing crisis.  There is a huge lack of affordable houses available for year-round residents and that is creating a big crunch for the job market.  So if you’re visiting this year, be mindful everyone will be doing the best they can with the staff they have.

We love having you here!  

I’ve got 3 updates to share this month:

Mid-Currituck Bridge –  Well, no big surprise.  More delays.  Click HERE to read the article.
Summertime Selling? – While most people don’t think of selling mid-vacation season, there are actually some real advantages to it.  If you want to take advantage of the current market activity, there’s no reason to wait.  See the 5 reasons here.
Busy Vacation Season – I have some unofficial reports that off-season (shoulder week) bookings are up 68% for the Outer Banks.  Of course in season is fully booked across the board.  There was a very funny meme out recently that I thought worth sharing:
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July Update for the Outer Banks

We are half way through the season and the traffic is an unkind reminder. Saturdays have been a bear for sure. The weather has been quite pleasant for the most part. With the exception of good old Arthur swinging through over the 4th! The beaches north of Oregon Inlet were spared from any major damage. Not even an evacuation! That was odd for sure.

There are a few noteworthy topics this month. 

Mid-Currituck Bridge After months and months of silence on this topic there’s been a few rumblings. Not good news at all, even though two local Reps are staying positive, it’s an unlikely project to be revived any time soon.

You be the judge – Article 1 and Article 2:

Insurance for NC Unless you act today, thousands of NC property owners could continue to face sharp increases in their insurance rates, as much as 35% for barrier islands and 25% statewide. The North Carolina General Assembly is considering a bill right now that would protect them. It would create transparency, accuracy, and fairness in the insurance rate-setting process. The House passed the bill unanimously, and now it’s time for the Senate to take action. Please contact NC State Senator immediately and request a vote on HB 519, Property Insurance Rate-Making Reform.

Click here for more info.

Market Update  Not much has changed since last month. Activity is strong, while prices continue to be affected by the large inventory numbers. Average days on the market is still over 200 days for most areas. The month’s supply of inventory for most locations is at least 12 months with Duck showing 18 and Corolla at a whopping 30 months. What does this mean? It means we are still recovering. This is not a short term process.

I’m putting together a special email with a full Fall Forecast for the Outer Banks Market. If you want to receive the Fall Forecast, email me at [email protected] with the words “Fall Forecast”. 

Outer Banks Area Update

I hope your pre-holiday season is going well.  We’ve had quite the cold spell hit the entire East Coast this week and who knows, we could even see another flurry or two here at the beach.  Just hope it doesn’t stick!  I have a few things to update you on this month.

Flood Insurance – Bipartisan legislation has just been introduced in Congress to remedy the unintended consequences of Biggert-Waters.  Senate Bill 1610/House Bill 3370 – Homeowner Flood Insurance Affordability Act of 2013 – will delay the loss of grandfathering for four years until several steps are taken to address the affordability of coverage. For more information and what you can do to help read the full article here.

Beach Nourishment – One step forward.  It’s looking really good for nourishment projects in Kill Devil Hills, Duck and Kitty Hawk.  Of course it takes a while to get the projects actually started.  KDH put together a really great page of FAQ’s that you can read here.

Loggerhead Turtles – Perhaps two steps back. Never a dull moment in the coastal/wildlife arena.  The push to throw a wrench in the beach nourishment plans have already begun.  Read more here.

Holiday Activities – If you’re going to be on the Outer Banks for the holidays this year, here’s a website to check for some local activities you might want to check out.  Be sure to click on the “Events” tab. http://www.outerbanksthisweek.com/things_to_do/

Happy 4th of July from the Outer Banks!

Happy 4th!!!

As is typical for the Outer Banks this time of year, there’s not a lot of activity to report…other than everyone is having fun at the beach.  The weather has been rainy and humid!  We haven’t seen extreme hot temps which is good.  I hope you’re enjoying your summer so far!

Bridge – No news.  Don’t count on it in our lifetime.

Insurance – Rates hikes for homeowners insurance went into effect July 1st.  This will impact buyers and the amount of mortgage they can now qualify for based on the expenses.

Market – The real estate market usually slows down in July.  Barring a hurricane, we should see a spike in activity in about 4 weeks.  If you want to get a jump on the market of buying or selling check out my website (here) or contact me for more information.

Duck Oceanfront A second public hearing will be held on July 17th at 1 p.m. regarding the regulation of oceanfront accessory structures such as dune decks, walkovers and oceanfront pools. Information on the proposed ordinance which could greatly affect the construction or reconstruction of oceanfront pools and eliminate the development and redevelopment of any dunes decks can be found here.

Occupancy Tax – Looks like guests will be asked to pay an additional 1% tax on all vacation rentals soon! Click here for details.

If you’re on the Outer Banks for the 4th of July, here is a list of activities you can check out.

January Snapshot for the Outer Banks

After coming off such a strong year in 2012, I’m sure you’re wondering how things are going so far in 2013.  Here’s a snapshot of what’s been happening on the Outer Banks for January.
  • Surprise!  No news to report on the Mid-Currituck Bridge
  • Actual Surprise – It SNOWED!  It’s all gone now, but it was fun for a day
  • The Great White Shark Mary Lee was cruising around Hatteras
  • I was named Beach Realty’s 2012 Agent of the Year
  • Sales for January have been STRONG. Over 50 properties CLOSED so far
  • Over 200 properties have already had a price adjustment in January
  • Nearly 200 new listings came on the market
  • When priced correctly multiple offers are coming in!
  • When priced correctly properties are selling within 30 days of listing
Outer Banks 2013 Housing MarketLast year I predicted the sales for 2012 would increase 15%.  The actual number was 21%!  It was even better than I thought.  This year I predict a similar trend.  With the activity in the market so far we should easily exceed the number of sales over last year again.  I also predict we will see a stabilization in pricing…no real movement up or down.
So here’s the question…how can I be of help to you this year?  What is your strategy for making the most of the 2013 market?  What are your thoughts on how this year is going to play out?  I’m interested to create this dialogue with you, so I can be sure to provide you with the most relevant information.
Stay warm and talk soon!

Tax Re-evaluation, Bridge and other news

Fall is officially upon us and the weather here in Duck has been phenomenal.  This is by far the best time of year to visit the Outer Banks and I hope you’ll be able to take advantage of it as well.

In fact, you may already be planning a visit over Columbus Day Weekend.  If so, you’ll notice the annual Parade of Homes happening.  This is a big event for us and is a great opportunity to see the latest trends in building.  If you can’t make it, be sure to take a look at the full tour online…

You may also remember a brief note in a previous email about the 2012 Tax Re-evaluation that is taking place now.  The latest assessments for Dare County will be available to homeowners in January 2013.  Keep in mind, tax assessment is not designed to determine market value for the property, rather for the purpose of assessing taxes equally among property owners.  If you’re interested in more information you can visit Dare County’s website on the topic here.

Now for the latest Mid-Currituck Bridge update…the Joint Legislative Transportation Oversight Committee has scheduled a meeting to give an update on this project for October 8th in Raleigh.  If you have an interest in this be sure to contact Representative Owens with your thoughts.  You’ll also notice on the Turnpike Authority website regarding this project that the completion date has been pushed once again to January 2018.

Lastly, sales continue to be very strong here.  There’s overall a 19% increase in the number of sales so far this year over last year.  However, last month we saw a huge spike in foreclosure filings for Dare County.  No one is really sure what caused the increase.  The point is we aren’t ready for any appreciation just yet.  It remains a great time to buy and for those selling a wonderful opportunity to take advantage of the increased buyer activity.  Let me know if you need any data on the market.

Outer Banks Update July 24, 2012

Sales activity continues to be higher than last year.  June finished with a 19% increase of sold properties over June 2011.  Properties going under contract are still on the rise as well.  Typically the summer months see a bit of a slow-down in activity, which we have, yet still maintained the increase.  I suspect the Fall Market will be very strong indeed.

Pricing seems to be stabilizing.  Some towns are still declining while others are holding steady.  For specific information on your location send me an email and I’ll get you a report.

The study on erosion in Duck is underway and the results of Phase I of this study will be presented to the public on August 15th at 1 pm.  For more information click here.

There is no new news on the Mid-Currituck Bridge.  We’re not expecting any updates until the end of this quarter.

As you can tell, I have a brand new website launched!  This site is very user friendly and should provide you with all the searching tools needed to find out what’s for sale on the Outer Banks.  I encourage you to check it out and take a look at my blog. If you haven’t done so already – follow me on Facebook, Twitter & / or Linkedin!

Doing a short sale in North Carolina is about to change.  The NC Association of Realtors recently made several revisions to the Short Sale Addendum.  For a quick video on the most impactful changes click here.

That’s all for this month.  As always if I can answer your real estate questions please contact me!