June OBX Update

We want to list our home,
but what if we get a lowball offer?

This is a common question I get, especially in a market like today.  For the first time in many years, last week we clocked in MORE price reductions than new listings in a month.  That’s a pretty significant milestone.  The peak for pricing has officially passed.  So what happens when a market peaks?  As you know, what goes up must come down.  This never takes place over night, so don’t sweat just yet.

The good news about this market cycle is we have a pretty decent blueprint of what happened during the last cycle to give insight and information.

Here are the basics:

2005 – Prices hit the peak

2008 – 2011 – These years we saw active declining in pricing (not overnight)

2012 – 2019 – These years very little changed, it was stagnant

2020 – Cycle started all over again.

Right now, I would say we are about the same as 2009.  We knew there was some instability in 2023, it really started to show up in 2024 and we are very aware in 2025.

In this cycle, we may not bottom out as quickly as last cycle because the inventory levels aren’t rising like they normally would in a down cycle.  So it is my prediction that the decline may take more than 3 years to occur.

All of that aside, if your plan is to “wait it out”, you need to really consider the cycle history and how long that could actually take.  Spoiler alert:  It’s always longer than you think.  Having been through this before, I can tell you, next year is not going to be better.

So, now what?  How do we get the most for the home in the current cycle?  Let’s look at what the stats tell us…

The majority of homes priced well and in demand are still selling within 30 to 60 days.  Pricing “higher to negotiate” will likely cost you time and money.  This is not the type of market for that strategy.  If you get an offer, even a low offer here’s what you want to do.

  1. Revisit the recent comps. Did other similar homes sell, or reduce to a level that the offer now makes a little more sense?  This does happen, especially if you’ve been on the market for a while.  If your agent is not keeping you up to date on this information, ask them to.
  2. Consider making a counteroffer anyway. It’s a tricky market with not a whole lot of certainty as to what is ahead.  Do not take it personally!  If you were on the buying side, you would probably be doing the same thing.  Instead, look at it big picture and keep the conversation going as long as possible.
  3. Get creative! Sometimes, price isn’t the only issue.  Is there another component of the sale you could use to gain some ground and make the offer more enticing to the buyer without cutting the price?  Price is a big factor, but sometimes not even the most important one.

Now is the time to be aware that lower offers are going to be the norm.  We are back to over 70% of all properties selling under asking price.  That’s just where we are.  It’s business, after all.

Hiring the right agent will make a big difference in your bottom line. 

Let me know if I can put together a winning strategy for you!

November OBX Update

Ilona Matteson - Outer Banks

November Market Update

Still a bit of a holding pattern in what supply and demand would still deem a “Normal Market”.

Normal is an inventory level of 4 to 6 months. We are right on the cusp of moving to a “Slow Market” where the advantage shifts over to the buyers in the market.

January 2024 November 2024
Active Inventory All 870 1187
Active Inventory Homes 424 595
Under Contract 24% 19.50%
Absorption Rate 5.4 6.7
SF Absorption Rate 4.3 5.3
Price Reductions/Month 171 271

If you would like a more specific analysis for your real estate goals, give me a call!

Duck Jazz Festival

Everybody is so excited for the 6th Annual Duck Jazz Festival that will be held at Duck Town Park on October 7th! Beach Realty & Construction/Kitty Hawk Rentals is proud to be an alto sponsor for this event.   The gates open at 10:00 with the event scheduled to begin at 11:00.  The best part is this is a free, all-day community event.

Here is the lineup for the day:

11:00 a.m. – Emme St. James and Her Jazz Gentlemen

12:15 p.m. – The Fuzz Band

2:15 p.m. – Paula Atherton

4:15 p.m. – The Rippingtons featuring Russ Freeman

Food and beverages will be available for sale.  Make sure you save some time to explore the boardwalk with the fantastic view plus all the great stores and restaurants.  You don’t want to miss out on this family fun day!

Get your Pirate on!

Pirates were one of the realities that merchants along the Outer Banks had to deal with throughout the late 1600’s and early 1700s.  Pirates attacked and raided Spanish and British ships carrying gold, silver and other riches. They used the outer Banks as an escape and to store their loot.  Blackbeard also known as Edward Teach lived in Ocracoke until November 22, 1718 when the British Royal Navy cornered him.  Blackbeard went down fighting instead of surrendering.

In the Outer Banks we have had several famous pirates such as Anne Bonny, Calico and Pamlico Jack, Mary Read, and Stede Bonnet. 

The Outer Banks Pirate Festival will kick-off on Thursday, September 13 and carry on with festivities on Outer Banks until ending on Saturday, September 15. Discover Pirate history and everything Pirate from a Scallywag School for Young Scoundrels, how to use pirate weapons, storytelling, and pictures and more with pirates, pirates everywhere! 

The event kicks on Thursday with a treasure hunt that begins at Kitty Hawk Kites and continues with a search through the stores of Jockey’s Ridge. 

Get ready to get your Pirate on… Argh, Mateys!

For more information go to:  Outer Banks Pirate Festival

Great Sporting Events in the Outer Banks

In the month of September, the Outer Banks has several great sporting events that are taking place. 

Grab a friend or a family member and head out to have a fun time!

The first weekend of September (Sept 1 – Sept 3) the Bud Light Lime Surf Series will be at Jeanette’s Pier.  This tour includes the top 32 men and 8 women from various surf genres.    Head to the beach and cheer on your favorite surfer.
September 12Th – 15Th is the Hatteras Wave Jam.  This is the American Windsurfing Tour and Hatteras should be an excellent stop.
Wave conditions in the area are likely to provide some of the best action found in the US. 
September 15Th is the All Out Pink Road Race, a 12K Bridge Run & 5K plus Garden Yoga and Pilate’s.   This event is presented by Outer Banks running Club and Outer Banks Bootcamps and hosted by the Elizabethan Gardens.  100% of the event proceeds will provide mammograms to locals that do not have access to health care.   This event has something for everyone and is a great way to spend the day with the family. 
  
ESA Eastern Surfing Championship is September 16th – 23rd at Jennette’s Pier.  This is the grand finale of surfing where the best from the national and international districts compete for who will be the overall champions for the year.  
September 22 and 23rd is the Outer Banks Triathlon an event not to be missed!  This is a whole weekend of family fun with Tri events that feature the half, Olympic and sprint distances in the beautiful Outer Banks.  If you can’t participate think about heading out to volunteer!  
The active month of September wraps up with the WRF Surfing Contest September 28– 30at Jennette’s Pier.  We know how beautiful the Outer Banks is in September.  Take some time to head outdoors with your family and support your community, join in the fun or even volunteer!